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Mar. 16th, 2007 02:34 am![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
Le PQ, l'ADQ et le PLQ à égalité statistique
Last week, one week ahead of most commentators, I started talking about a minority government in Québec. Now that they have talked about that, these new poll numbers lead me to think about a possible ADQ minority. I don't think the ADQ can muster a majority (the PLQ is strong in Montréal, and the PQ is gaining some ground on the Liberals in ridings were the Liberals wouldn't win anyway) but after seeing Brian Mulroney on The Hour yesterday, I'm thinking, you know, everything is possible.
An ADQ victory would be a huge boost for Harper's future fortunes in Québec. Keep your eyes peeled.
ETA: Michel Auger, in his cyberpresse blog, recounts the 1990 Bob Rae scenario (en français) to imply that the ADQ (he doesn't name them) is in line to win the election.
compasspoints, what are the options in your riding? :]
Last week, one week ahead of most commentators, I started talking about a minority government in Québec. Now that they have talked about that, these new poll numbers lead me to think about a possible ADQ minority. I don't think the ADQ can muster a majority (the PLQ is strong in Montréal, and the PQ is gaining some ground on the Liberals in ridings were the Liberals wouldn't win anyway) but after seeing Brian Mulroney on The Hour yesterday, I'm thinking, you know, everything is possible.
An ADQ victory would be a huge boost for Harper's future fortunes in Québec. Keep your eyes peeled.
ETA: Michel Auger, in his cyberpresse blog, recounts the 1990 Bob Rae scenario (en français) to imply that the ADQ (he doesn't name them) is in line to win the election.
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Date: 2007-03-17 03:37 am (UTC)2) Part two of the 'Bob Rae scenario' was a government full of incompetent MPPs (all else aside - I speak from experience in Erie-Lincoln) and a rapid and monumental collapse of credibility. Is this predicted to follow as well?
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